A new poll suggests Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez is leading Vice President JD Vance in the hypothetical 2028 presidential matchup, stirring discussions on the future political landscape.
Story Highlights
- Ocasio-Cortez slightly leads Vance in a new poll, indicating a competitive 2028 race.
- The poll shows sharp demographic divides in voter preferences.
- Neither Ocasio-Cortez nor Vance has officially announced a presidential run.
Poll Results Indicate a Tight Race
A recent survey from The Argument/Verasight shows Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, known as AOC, slightly leading Vice President JD Vance, 51 percent to 49 percent. However, the result falls within the poll’s 2.7 percentage point margin of error, indicating a statistical tie.
This suggests that the 2028 presidential race could be highly competitive, with no clear advantage for either side.
The poll, which included 1,521 registered voters between December 5 and 11, shows that Ocasio-Cortez enjoys significant support among Black and Hispanic voters, while Vance has greater appeal among white voters. These demographic divides are likely to shape the strategies both candidates could pursue if they decide to run.
New – 2028 presidential poll
🔵 AOC 51%
🔴 Vance 49%Verasight #C – RV – 12/11 pic.twitter.com/YoC5t4GPKR
— Political Polls (@PpollingNumbers) December 17, 2025
Demographic Divides Highlighted
The survey revealed that Ocasio-Cortez leads among Black voters with 79 percent and among Hispanic voters with 64 percent. In contrast, Vance holds the majority among white voters, with 57 percent supporting him. Gender splits also emerged, with 54 percent of men favoring Vance, while 56 percent of women support Ocasio-Cortez.
These statistics underscore the cultural and demographic factors that could influence the 2028 election, reflecting broader trends seen in recent electoral cycles. The ability of each candidate to appeal across these divides will be crucial in determining the outcome.
Potential Candidates Remain Unconfirmed
Although neither Ocasio-Cortez nor Vance has officially declared their candidacy for the 2028 election, both are considered prominent figures in their respective parties. Speculation about their potential runs continues to grow, with both camps likely assessing their strategies and timing for any future announcements.
As of now, political analysts suggest that any official declarations from these candidates will likely occur after the 2026 midterm elections. This waiting period allows both parties to gauge public sentiment and refine their platforms to align with voter priorities.
